Explore the latest thought leadership from Moody's Ratings



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Moody's
research
Shifting US disaster relief to states would burden their budgets and spur out-migration

States may be able to absorb reduced federal aid, but they would need to use reserves or debt, diverting funds from other needs because of the essential nature of disaster cleanup and rebuilding.

public sector
research
New US tariff on Brazilian imports would hit various commodity sectors

A sudden spike in US tariffs would create short-term market volatility for commodities, which make up most of Brazil's exports, but many producers will maintain cost, scale, and geographic advantages.

Moody's
data story
China emerges as a key player in the AI revolution of robotics

While Germany, Japan and the US lead in robotics technology, China is outstripping its peers in robot production and annual installations. Rapid advancements in AI technology could propel it further. 

Moody's
research
Global default dollar volume in June more than doubled vs. May, despite fewer defaults

Altice France’s record-setting default drove June volume to $37 billion, but the number of defaults versus May fell, and the default rate will likely slow as monetary policy eases. 

Moody's
data story
Russian-backed entities are on the move, raising EU banks’ compliance challenge

Moody’s reveals how EU banks are navigating Article 5r, a regulation requiring disclosure of large fund transfers involving Russian-owned entities. With nearly 48,000 such companies identified, the data story explores regional patterns, compliance challenges, and the evolving financial landscape shaped by the EU’s sanctions regime.

Moody's
research
Private credit growth adds liquidity but heightens risk in CRE market

We expect $1 trillion of US and European commercial mortgages will shift to private credit within five years, but traditional lenders will remain exposed to some riskier assets.

workers
research
Support for Latin American state-owned enterprises varies according to policy agendas

Recent policies clarified support for government-related issuers (GRIs) in Argentina, reinforced state dominance of GRIs in Mexico, and implied increased intervention in Brazil.

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Moody's
research
New tariff deadline pressures Asia-Pacific economies to seal trade deals with the US

The extension of the US tariffs pause averts an immediate, deeper negative credit effect, but the prolonged uncertainty will weigh on the growth prospects of the region’s trade-reliant economies.

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